Heads turn as 'crazy' early voting data hints at seismic shift in deep-red state: 'OMG'

An analysis of first-day early voting data in Texas stunned countless onlookers Tuesday morning, with some interpreting the findings as an early sign of a seismic shift in a state where Democrats haven’t won a statewide race in more than three decades.“This is amazing,” wrote Kshitiz Lamba, an election data analyst who was named by the New Jersey Globe as 2025 “Pundit of the Year” for his “incredible speed” and “considerable accuracy.” “Clear change in patterns.”According to Tolga Sahin, a Texas-based election data analyst and contributor to VoteHub, the partisan makeup of first-day in-person voters in Collin and Denton counties — two suburban counties north of Dallas that President Donald Trump carried by double digits in 2024 — swung 19.2 points toward Democratic primary voters compared with the first day of early voting in the 2022 midterms.While the figures reflect voters’ previous participation in partisan primaries, not how they voted...